Showing posts with label Milton Friedman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Milton Friedman. Show all posts

Thursday, 18 May 2017

The Benefits of the Invisible Hand

Smith argued that these three ingredients would lead to a "natural harmony" of interests between workers, landlords, and capitalists.Recall the pin factory, where management and labor had to work together to achieve their ends, and the woolen coat that required the"joint labor" of workmen, merchants, and carriers from around the world. On a general scale, the voluntary self-interest of millions of individuals would create a stable, prosperous society without the need for central direction by the state. His doctrine of enlightened self-interest is often called "the invisible hand," based on a famous passage (paraphrased) from The Wealth of Nations: "By pursuing his own self interest, every individual is led by an invisible hand to promote the public interest" (423).

             Adam Smith's invisible hand doctrine has become a popular metaphor for unfettered market capitalism. Although Smith uses the term only once in The Wealth of Nations, and sparingly elsewhere, the phrase "invisible hand" has come to symbolize the workings of the market economy as well as the workings of natural science (Ylikoski 1995).

             Defenders of market economics use it in a positive way, characterizing the market hand as "gentle" (Harris 1998), "wise" and "far reaching" (Joyce 2001), one that "improves the lives of people" (Bush 2002), while contrasting it with the "visible hand," "the hidden hand,"
"the grabbing hand," "the dead hand," and the "iron fist" of government, whose "invisible foot tramples on people's hopes and destroys their dreams" (Shleifer and Vishny 1998, 3^1; Lindsey 2002; Bush 2002). Critics use contrasting comparisons to express their hostility toward capitalism.To them, the invisible hand of the market may be a "backhand" (Brennan and Pettit 1993), "trembling" and "getting stuck" and "amputated" (Hahn 1982), "palsied" (Stiglitz 2001, 473),"bloody
(Rothschild 2001, 119), and an "iron fist of competition"
(Roemer 1988, 2-3).

             The invisible hand concept has received surprising praise from economists across the political spectrum. One would expect high praise from free-market advocates, of course. Milton Friedman refers to Adam Smith's symbol as a "key insight" into the cooperative, self-regulating "power of the market [to] produce our food, our clothing, our housing" (Friedman and Friedman 1980, 1). "His vision of the way in which the voluntary actions of millions of individuals can be coordinated through a price system without central direction . . . is a highly sophisticated and subtle insight" (Friedman 1978, 17; cf.Friedman 1981).Not to be outdone are Keynesian economists. Despite its imperfections, "the invisible hand has an astonishing capacity to handle a coordination problem of truly enormous proportions," declare William Baumol and Alan Blinder (2001, 214). Frank Hahn honors the invisible hand theory as "astonishing" and an appropriate metaphor."Whatever criticisms I shall level at the theory later, I should like to record that it is a major intellectual achievement. . . . The invisible hand works in harmony [that] leads to the growth in the output of goods which people desire" (Hahn 1982, 1, 4, 8).

Smith's References to the Invisible Hand


             Surprisingly, Adam Smith uses the expression "invisible hand" only three times in his writings. The references are so sparse that economists and political commentators seldom mentioned the invisible hand idea by name in the nineteenth century. No references were made to it during the celebrations of the centenary of The Wealth of Nations in 1876. In fact, in the famed edited volume by Edwin Cannan, published in 1904, the index does not include a separate entry for "invisible hand." The term only became a popular symbol in the twentieth century (Rothschild 2001, 117-18). But this historical fact should not imply that Smith's metaphor is marginal to his philosophy; it is in reality the central element to his philosophy.

               The first mention of the invisible hand is found in Smith's "History of Astronomy," where he discusses superstitious peoples who ascribed unusual events to the handiwork of unseen gods:
Among savages, as well as in the early ages of Heathen antiquity, it is the irregular events of nature only that are ascribed to the agency and power of their gods. Fire burns, and water refreshes; heavy bodies descend and lighter substances fly upwards, by the necessity of their own nature; nor was the invisible hand of Jupiter ever apprehended to be employed in those matters. (Smith 1982, 49)

             A full statement of the invisible hand's economic power occurs in The Theory of Moral Sentiments, when Smith describes some unpleasant rich landlords who in "their natural selfishness and rapacity"pursue "their own vain and insatiable desires." And yet they employ several thousand poor workers to produce luxury products: The rest he [the proprietor] is obliged to distribute . . . among those. . . which are employed in the economy of greatness; all of whom thus derive from his luxury and caprice, that share of the necessaries of life, which they would in vain have expected from his humanity or his justice. . . . [T]hey divide with the poor the produce of all their improvements. They are led by an invisible hand to,... without intending it, without knowing it, advance the interests of the society. (Smith 1982 [1759], 183-85)"The third mention, already quoted above, occurs in a chapter on international trade in The Wealth of Nations, where Smith argues against restrictions on imports, and against the merchants and manufacturers who support their mercantilist views. Here is the complete quotation:As every individual, therefore, endeavours as much as he can both to employ his capital in the support of domestic industry, and so to direct that industry that its produce may be of the greatest value; every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the society as great as he can. He generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it.... [A]nd by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for the society that it was no part of it.

             By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it. I have never known much good done by those who affected to trade for the public good. (Smith 1965 [1776], 423)

Monday, 15 May 2017

Debt and Deflation

Contrary to today,deflation-prices falling from year to year instead of rising-wasn't perceiving as a threat every time.The alive Economies faced that phenomenon in stages before 20th century along several century.In fact, Milton Friedman has upholded that in theory that governments should endure a certain amount of deflation..

                  While the prices in market was falling slowly,this means every dollar and pound in your pocket,were getting value.Even if your income does not increase every year,your purchasing power increases.Like an economy with high inflation,you don't need to worry about that your money value falling.

                   Deflation and Crisis The innocent deflation left its place to bad experiences with in 20th century falling prices.This status was same in 1930's crisis too.Crisis followed the pretty rising prices of share(shares was being purchased with debts instead of savings money.) in 1920s.In 1929,the investors noticed the winnings does not based on reality,it based on more hope and speculation,and the stock market collapsed.Followed by US economy and the other national economies the most darkness years were lived.The banks were went bankrupt with heavy debts,and the real estate prices were fell,companies were shut down and millions people be unemployed.The basic of in crisis the most important problem was deflation.Prices began to fall when people understood that the era of economics, defined as "The Crazy Twenties," was artificially driven by greed and frenzy.Share and real estates prices fell,but the value of the debts that people took to buy them remained stable.So while prices are falling by 10 percent per year, the cost of borrowing at the cost of $ 100-the current purchasing power- was became $ 110.Millions of people in the digits, which are not directly affected by the collapse of the stock exchange,because of unexpectedly increment of the value of debt,defeated by inflation.

                  A Hard Spiral Deflation doesn't only debtors,it affects whole economy.As prices drop, people start stacking money because they know everything will be cheaper in a few months time.The money spend unwillingness reduce prices even more.Moreoever,companies notice the money cost rises because of people salaries arranging by legal contracts.The previous was $ 1000 salary,and now its value $ 1100.It is a kind of disaster for employers because even if the employer sell the goods and services more less,employer have to fulfill the same price cost.At first sight,even if it looks good for workers,practically,it does mean companies will fire many workers for carry on.At the same way, even if the banks will take more mortgage payment from some of debtors(compared to other prices in the economy),cannot collect any payment from the other debtors.

                   Some of this symptoms reminds like during the high inflation.Both of them contain in real prices uncontrollable rising in certain products.The difference is that while inflation increase the value of consumption goods, deflation contain inflating debt and other liabilities.One of the huge risks of deflation,in response to the steady decline in prices the companies who is in retrenchment, that their losses are getting bigger and that means pulling the prices further down.This creates a situation even more difficult than the inflation spiral,because in modern economies the mechanism of struggle against inflation has developed even more.

                    Diagnosis and Solutions The economic explaing of deflation,reduction of the money quantity in system or increase in the supply of goods and services.In that case,while a lot of money is in pursuit of little goods in inflation,this situation will the exact opposite in deflation.In the period of Great Depression,the cause of this in Japan 1990s and 2000s was the shortage of money.The reason for the benign inflation of the 19th century, on the contrary, was a surplus of supply that emerged more productively.

                   Generally,central bank checks the inflation with interest rates.Even so,they cannot fall below zero of that rate.That is mean they will apply more unusual methods while the prices down. So,they have to apply more unusual methods when prices are falling.Contrary to the inflation situation where the money in the economy is being kept constant,Central Banks start to cash transpose to system.It could make it in different ways;they buy assets such as bonds and shares or increase the money in the banks of commercial banks.To all this method called as "Quantitative Easing."
   
                At the end of the millennium,in Japan,kind of methods were used in USA and UK after 2008 crisis too.From debt-borne financial crises,tried to get out of like this way.

Main Message


Declining prices could damage the economy too.